Reason I like Bodog #3:
I recommend against gambling for real money, since you'll always lose in the long run. But if you're going to gamble anyway then you might as well make your money last as long as possible, so I looked for an online casino which offers good odds.
Most online casinos are
greedy when setting the odds on their
games. They think they'll make more
money by setting the games tighter, so the player
has less chance of winning, but they're wrong. Most
gamblers eventually gamble away all their playing
budget anyway. They're going to lose the same
amount of money no matter what, the only question
is how long it takes them to do so. And when they
play at a tight casino and lose quickly, they're
less likely to return.
A casino which offers good odds will make
just as much money as a tight casino, because
the players will usually gamble away whatever they
deposit anyway, no matter what the odds. The only
difference is that with better odds, they'll get to
play longer before they go bust. And that means
they had more fun in the process, and they're more
likely to return.
Bodog is one of they few casinos that
understands this. They offer games with good
odds, knowing that if your money lasts longer,
you'll be a happier, loyal customer. Among their
- Two blackjack games returning over
- Single-0 roulette
- Full-pay Jacks or Better (99.54%)
- Six other video poker games returning over
- Pick 'em Poker, at 99.95%!
Why play anywhere where the odds aren't this
Try their blackjack for free.
One click and you're in.
Call the 800-522-4700 hotline, and read this.
Also, know that Parkinson's drugs encourage gambling.
counting without a taker (started
Any betting system that promises to make you a winner is
junk, and I'm so confident about this that I'm
putting my money where my mouth is: I'll
$30,000 against any system seller's $3,000 that their betting
system can't beat
the house. (Or I'll wager my $10,000 against
prefer.) My goal is to show that every huckster selling a
"winning system" on the Internet for $29.95 (or whatever) is
pure junk. Not a single one of these scam artists has ever
their system to the test with me. The reason is
They know their systems don't work.
I hope it's also obvious to everyone that if someone had
truly figured out a way to beat the house, why would they
need to sell
that secret for $29.95?
Years ago the Wizard of Odds used to offer a similar
challenge, but after many years he had only
legitimate taker. (The challenger lost,
of course.) Everyone else who wrote to him was simply
his time by trying to get him to test their system for free or
discount, despite his explicitly saying that he wouldn't
such offers. After years of getting all these illegitimate
and only one legitimate taker he stopped offering the
I'm picking up where he left off and offering a similar
myself, though as predicted, almost every inquiry has been from
trying to waste my time by suggesting something outside
the terms of the challenge. I had only one legitimate
but that person realized that his system doesn't actually work,
didn't go through with the bet.
Clearly anyone who figured out a way to win and wasn't selling
it to the public could just play in the casino themselves, and
have no need to try to win my $30k.
I'm 100% confident that no such system actually exists, but
way for me to prove it, because anyone who actually had such a
wouldn't take my challenge. But I can prove that
systems being sold to the public
are junk, because anyone willing to part with his system for
whataver) should be falling all over themselves to try to win my
$30k. The fact that not even one system-seller has even
win my $30k proves my point: Any system that you can buy is
The challenge is actually available to anyone, whether their
system is being sold to the public or not. While
those not selling their systems would be expected to just employ
systems in the casino rather than going the challenge route, one
would-be challenger thought that it would be quicker to win the
from me through the challenge than to win it in the casino, and
him he could. (He later backed out, though.) So the
challenge is available to anyone, as long as they agree to my
Anyway, here are the terms of my challenge.
Bluejay's $30,000 challenge
- The Challenge. I will wager my $30,000 against
your $3,000 (or my $10,000 against your $1,000, if you prefer)
your betting system cannot beat a game of roulette, baccarat,
as the player, using common Vegas rules, starting with a
bankroll (play money, not real money), in a computer
simulation, as per the additional terms below.
- Length. Each
test will run for 200,000
rounds. A "round" is an event where any bet is
It's fine for your system to sit out sometimes to wait
for "streaks" or other conditions (up to 20 million rounds sat
out per test), but 200,000 rounds must be wagered
on for each test (unless your system goes bust first during a
which will end that particular test). We'll run this
times, and you win the challenge if your system wins at least
11 out of
the 20 tests. This is generous, because your system
all the time, it need only win slightly more than half the
order to beat the challenge. (For those who think this
is a bad
test because "nobody plays 200,000 rounds", see the
- Betting System. Your system must be one that
could actually be used in a
typical Vegas casino, since the point of your challenge should
prove that you can win in a casino environment. So,
methods that attempt to exploit the computer's random number
are specifically disallowed. Any system that wins by
RNG cannot win in a real casino. Similarly, any system
actually be employed by an average person with nothing more
than a pen
and paper is disallowed, since if a system can't be used in
world then it's worthless. Your system must be a
betting system, where bets are based on the outcome of
rounds. The point of your wager must be to prove your
betting system, not find some flaw in my rules. Systems
optimized to try to exploit some flaw in my challenge (rather
general systems which are actually intended to work in actual
are specifically disallowed, as are card-counting systems.
- Game Rules, Table Limits, & Bankroll. You
choose the game. Roulette can be single- or
Craps has standard 3-4-5x odds. The table
limits are $5 minimum and $5000 maximum. In roulette, $1
can be placed on any bet, with a minimum of $5 on the outside
outside wagers are placed, and a minimum of $5 on the inside
inside wagers are placed. In craps, the Table Max refers
Pass Line bet, so a Free Odds bet can exceed the table
$5000 max is the total that can be wagered on one round of
baccarat, or one roll in craps, excluding the odds bet.
It's the sum of all bets placed.) Starting bankroll for
- We'll execute a contract, and then deposit our money
in escrow up front with a neutral, mutually-agreed-upon
third party who
will also act as judge.
If that third party has a fee, we'll split the fee
the contract, any party who backs out or fails to proceed
as specified below will forfeit. Either party may appeal
decision made by the judge by our employing a mutually
neutral professional arbiter to decide the issue, with the
in the arbitration paying the arbiter's fees.
- You will email me your system rules within one week of
our both signing the contract. If
I feel the rules are not clear I have 48 hours to ask you to
and you will have 48 hours to provide revised rules, with this
repeating if I feel the revised rules are still not
two weeks from your sending me the the initial set of rules,
if I feel the last-received rules are still not clear, then at
option I can ask to
the judge to rule that you forfeited by failing to submit an
understandable betting system, and if the judge rules against
you can appeal via arbitration as per above. (This rule
because one potential challenger submitted complete
Fortunately for him, it was before we signed a contract.)
- I will program a computer simulation and provide you
with the results as well as the source code so
you can have your own expert(s) verify its accuracy. If
convince me of an error with my code I will correct the error
the simulation again, with the new test being the official
one. This will repeat as many times as you find errors
agree are errors and fix. If you believe my code to be
and I disagree, you can ask the judge to rule for you.
judge rules against you, you
may submit the case to arbitration as per above.
- Since the first would-be challenger who wrote to me was
concerned that I would use his winning system in the casinos
capitalize on it, I promise in writing to do no such
Clearly if I'm able to offer a $30,000 challenge, I
already have more money than I need.
- In addition to the $30,000 (or $10,000), a winning
challenger will also receive a
prominent ad on the front of VegasClick.com for the system,
my statement that the system beat my challenge, for a
period of at
least one year from the date of the test.
- I will not disclose the challenger's contact
information or the specific rules of the system without the
challenger's permission. I will be allowed (but
- The address of the website selling the system, if it is
for sale to the public.
- The name of the challenger, if it appears on the
challenger's own website about the betting system
(otherwise, I need
the challenger's permission to publish his/her name).
- A general description of the system. (e.g.,
is a standard
positive-progression system," "This system is based on
betting on red
after a certain pattern of red/black hits has been
- The overall results, including the percentage of weekend
sessions won/lost, the average profit/loss for won &
and the average lifetime profit/loss.
I do not test betting systems outside of this challenge, period.
only interest in offering the challenge is to disprove betting
systems; I certainly don't need any more programming work.
you want is a test of your system, hire anyone with some
skills for $50 to $100, on craigslist,
elance, or oDesk.
In fact, if you're not a system
seller but rather somebody who just thinks he came up with a
system, I strongly advise you to hire
else to computer-program your system to show that
system doesn't really work before you risk your $1000 or $3000
Those who are confident and who agree to the terms above
are invited to accept this
"But no one plays
Some folks have said the challenge is unfair because a
system could win in the short term, even
if it can't last 200,000 rounds. They're missing two
things. First, I'm offering a whopping 10 to 1 odds.
odds, even a system with a lousy 11% chance of beating the
a good bet for the challenger (and a bad bet for me and my
$30,000). Their system could lose 89% of the time in the
world but still beat my challenge. And a system that loses
the time in the real world is the farthest thing from a "winning
betting system". So I've got to make sure we
play long enough that a
challenger doesn't have even a lousy 11% chance of winning.
Next, my criteria for what constitutes a "winning system"
is really soft:
In the real world, a system that showed a measly $5
profit after 200,000 rounds (less than a penny an hour) would be
considered a miserable failure, but that would be enough to win
a test in my
challenge rules. If my challenge required the system to
meaningful amount (say, $20 an hour), then any system would fail
By the way, you absolutely could play 200,000 rounds anyway.
baccarat at 125 hands per hour, 8 hours on a weekend, 26
weekends per year, for 35 years, is nearly a million
No one has ever accepted
One reader said that a system-seller claimed to have beaten
my challenge (or perhaps the Wizard's challenge, he wasn't
Let me be clear: no one has ever even accepted
my challenge, let alone beaten it. And the one person who
accepted the Wizard's challenge (back when he offered it), lost
readily. Anyone who claims they've beaten my challenge
show you the alleged contract we signed, listing the supposed
agent and judge, allowing you to verify whether any challenge
Those who are confident and agree to the terms are
invited to accept the
Alternate "Live Casino
Some system sellers claim that their systems work in a casino,
but they can't beat a computer simulation because "a computer
real-world test". Putting aside the fact that such an
ridiculous, I have a challenge to accommodate this particular
objection. The challenge is the same as above, except:
- It takes place in a Vegas (or other U.S.) casino, with you
and me (or my representative) present. You will bank and
place your own bets.
will choose the number of rounds to wager on before we begin
10,000 rounds). If your system is played in "sessions"
matter: you keep track of your "sessions" however you define
they're irrelevant to me. You win by showing the
profit (defined below), no matter how many "sessions" you
divided your play into.
- The challenge is an even-money bet between you and me (not
odds). The amount wagered between you and me is any amount you
between $1000 to $30,000, with a minimum of $50 per hour of
(including time you spend at the table not betting while
"streaks" or other conditions). Yes, you won't know the exact
hours you'll be playing in the casino to finish your X number
rounds, so you should estimate well to make sure you meet the
challenge wager. Roulette, craps, and baccarat are typically
around 40, 50, and 70 rounds per hour respectively, but if
waiting for streaks or other conditions then your play will be
- All play must be completed within one month.
- Starting bankroll is 1/3 the number of total rounds, in
dollars, banked by you. (e.g., a 1500-round challenge
means a starting bankroll
- You win if you achieve a profit of at least $15 an hour on
average. (Win must be at least [total hours played] x [$15].)
practice a betting system? Betting
systems can't make you a
but by playing
for free, you
can test your theory without risking any real money.
I recommend Bodog over other online casinos
- You can play without registering.
- You can play the games in your browser without
- The games work on both Macs and PC's.
- They don't have annoying popup windows.
are subject to change. I don't guarantee to offer this
in this format forever.
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