Reason I like Bovada #3:
The odds are always against you when you gamble, so it pays to play at a casino that offers good odds. I spent some time looking for an online casino with good odds, and I found it in Bovada. Let me first tell you about the competition, though.
It's disappointing that most online casinos are
greedy when setting the odds on their
games. They think they'll make more
money by setting the games tighter, so the player
has less chance of winning, but they're wrong. Most
gamblers eventually gamble away all their playing
budget anyway. They're going to lose the same
amount of money no matter what, the only question
is how long it takes them to do so. And when they
play at a tight casino and lose quickly, they're
less likely to return.
A casino which offers good odds will make
just as much money as a tight casino, because
the players will usually gamble away whatever they
deposit anyway, no matter what the odds. The only
difference is that with better odds, they'll get to
play longer before they go bust. And that means
they had more fun in the process, and they're more
likely to return.
Bovada is one of they few casinos that
understands this. They offer games with good
odds, knowing that if your money lasts longer,
you'll be a happier, loyal customer. Among their
- Two blackjack games returning over 99.8%
- Single-0 roulette
- Full-pay Jacks or Better (99.54%)
- Nine other video poker games returning over 99%
You don't have to play at Bovada, but wherever you play, make sure they offer odds at least this good!
Try their blackjack for free.
One click and you're in.
Call the 800-522-4700 hotline, and read this.
Also, know that Parkinson's drugs encourage gambling.
years and counting without a taker (started
Any betting system that promises to make you a winner is
junk, and I'm so confident about this that I'm putting my
money where my mouth is: I'll
wager $30,000 against any system seller's $3,000 that their
betting system can't beat the house. (Or I'll
wager my $10,000 against their $1,000, if they prefer.) My
goal is to show that every huckster selling a "winning system"
on the Internet for $29.95 (or whatever) is selling pure
junk. Not a single one of these scam artists has ever put
their system to the test with me. The reason is
simple: They know their systems don't work.
I hope it's also obvious to everyone that if someone had
truly figured out a way to beat the house, why would they
need to sell that secret for $29.95?
Years ago the Wizard of Odds used to offer a similar
challenge, but after many years he had only
one legitimate taker. (The challenger lost,
of course.) Everyone else who wrote to him was simply
trying to waste his time by trying to get him to test their
system for free or at a discount, despite his explicitly saying
that he wouldn't entertain any such offers. After years of
getting all these illegitimate inquiries and only one legitimate
taker he stopped offering the challenge. So now I'm
picking up where he left off and offering a similar challenge
myself, though as predicted, almost every inquiry has been from
someone asking for something outside the terms of the
challenge. I had only one legitimate inquiry, but that
person realized that his system doesn't actually work, so he
didn't go through with the bet.
Clearly anyone who figured out a way to win and wasn't selling
it to the public could just play in the casino themselves, and
have no need to try to win my $30k. I'm 100% confident
that no such system actually exists, but there's no way for me to
prove it, because anyone who actually had such a system wouldn't
take my challenge. But I can prove that systems
being sold to the public are junk, because anyone willing
to part with his system for $29.95 (or whataver) should be falling
all over themselves to try to win my $30k. The fact that not
even one system-seller has even tried to win my $30k proves my
point: Any system that you can buy is garbage.
The challenge is actually available to anyone, whether their
system is being sold to the public or not. While
those not selling their systems would be expected to just employ
their systems in the casino rather than going the challenge
route, one would-be challenger thought that it would be quicker
to win the $30k from me through the challenge than to win it in
the casino, and I told him he could. (He later backed out,
though.) So the challenge is available to anyone, as long
as they agree to my very generous terms.
Anyway, here are the terms of my challenge.
- The Challenge. I will wager my $30,000 against
your $3,000 (or my $10,000 against your $1,000, if you prefer)
that your betting system cannot beat a game of roulette,
baccarat, or craps, as the player, using common Vegas rules,
starting with a generous $5000 bankroll (play money, not real
money), in a computer simulation, as per the additional terms
- Length. Each test will run for 200,000
rounds. A "round" is an event where any bet is
resolved. It's fine for your system to sit out sometimes
to wait for "streaks" or other conditions (up to 20 million
rounds sat out per test), but 200,000 rounds must be wagered
on for each test (unless your system goes bust first during a
test, which will end that particular test). We'll run
this test 20 times, and you win the challenge if your system
wins at least 11 out of the 20 tests. This is generous,
because your system doesn't have to win all the time, it need
only win slightly more than half the time in order to beat the
challenge. (For those who think this is a bad test
because "nobody plays 200,000 rounds", see the explanation
- Betting System. Your system must be one that
could actually be used in a typical Vegas casino, since the
point of your challenge should be to prove that you can win in
a casino environment. So, for example, methods
that attempt to exploit the computer's random number generator
are specifically disallowed. Any system that wins by
screwing with the RNG cannot win in a real casino.
Similarly, any system that cannot be actually be employed by
an average person with nothing more than a pen and paper is
disallowed, since if a system can't be used in the real world
then it's worthless. Your system must be a traditional
betting system, where bets are based on the outcome of
previous rounds. The point of your wager must be to
prove your betting system, not find some flaw in my
rules. Systems that are optimized to try to exploit some
flaw in my challenge (rather than general systems which are
actually intended to work in actual casinos), are specifically
disallowed, as are card-counting systems.
- Game Rules, Table Limits, & Bankroll. You
choose the game. Roulette can be single- or
double-zero. Craps has standard 3-4-5x odds. The
table limits are $5 minimum and $5000 maximum. In
roulette, $1 wagers can be placed on any bet, with a minimum
of $5 on the outside if any outside wagers are placed, and a
minimum of $5 on the inside if any inside wagers are
placed. In craps, the Table Max refers to the Pass Line
bet, so a Free Odds bet can exceed the table max. The
$5000 max is the total that can be wagered on one round of
roulette or baccarat, or one roll in craps, excluding the odds
bet. (i.e., It's the sum of all bets placed.)
Starting bankroll for each test is $5000.
- Earnest Money & Contract. We'll choose a
third party (acceptable to both of us) to hold our money and
to act as judge for the challenge. If that third party
has a fee, we'll split the fee equally. You'll deposit
your money with the judge first to show that you're serious
(since to date, out of dozens of inquiries, not a single
person has actually gone through with the challenge).
Once your money has been deposited, we'll both sign a
contract, and then I'll deposit my money. After this,
any party who backs out or fails to proceed as specified below
will forfeit. Either party may appeal any decision made
by the judge by our employing a mutually agreed-upon neutral
professional arbiter to decide the issue, with the losing
party in the arbitration paying the arbiter's fees.
- You will email me your system rules within one week of
our both signing the contract. If I feel the
rules are not clear I have 48 hours to ask you to clarify, and
you will have 48 hours to provide revised rules, with this
process repeating if I feel the revised rules are still not
clear. After two weeks from your sending me the the
initial set of rules, if I feel the last-received rules are
still not clear, then at my option I can ask to the judge to
rule that you forfeited by failing to submit an understandable
betting system. If the judge rules against you then you
can appeal via arbitration as per above. (This rule
exists because one potential challenger submitted complete
gibberish. Fortunately for him, it was before we signed
- I will program a computer simulation and provide you with
the results as well as the source code so you can have
your own expert(s) verify its accuracy. If you convince
me of an error with my code I will correct the error and run
the simulation again, with the new test being the official
one. This will repeat as many times as you find errors
that I agree are errors and fix. If you believe my code
to be in error and I disagree, you can ask the judge to rule
for you. If the judge rules against you, you may submit
the case to arbitration as per above.
- Since the first would-be challenger who wrote to me was
concerned that I would use his winning system in the casinos
myself to capitalize on it, I promise in writing to do
no such thing. Clearly if I'm able to offer a $30,000
challenge, I already have more money than I need.
- In addition to the $30,000 (or $10,000), a winning
challenger will also receive a prominent ad on the front of
VegasClick.com for the system, along with my statement that
the system beat my challenge, for a period of at least
one year from the date of the test.
- I will not disclose the challenger's contact information
or the specific rules of the system without the challenger's
permission. I will be allowed (but not required)
- The address of the website selling the system, if it is
for sale to the public.
- The name of the challenger, if it appears on the
challenger's own website about the betting system
(otherwise, I need the challenger's permission to publish
- A general description of the system. (e.g.,
"This is a standard positive-progression system," "This
system is based on betting on red after a certain pattern of
red/black hits has been established," etc.)
- The overall results, including the percentage of weekend
sessions won/lost, the average profit/loss for won &
lost sessions, and the average lifetime profit/loss.
I do not test betting systems outside of this challenge, period.
only interest in offering the challenge is to disprove betting
systems; I certainly don't need any more programming work.
If all you want is a test of your system, hire anyone with some
programming skills for $50 to $100, on craigslist,
elance, or oDesk.
In fact, if you're not a system seller but rather somebody who
just thinks he came up with a winning system, I
strongly advise you to hire someone else to computer-program
your system to show that your system doesn't
really work before you risk your $1000 or $3000 with me.
Those who are confident and who agree to the terms above
without any modifications are invited to accept
"But no one plays
Some folks have said the challenge is unfair because a
system could win in the short term, even if it can't last
200,000 rounds. They're missing two things. First,
I'm offering a whopping 10 to 1 odds. With such generous
odds, even a system with a lousy 11% chance of beating the
challenge is a good bet for the challenger (and a bad bet for me
and my $30,000). Their system could lose 89% of the time
in the real world but still beat my challenge. And a
system that loses 89% of the time in the real world is the
farthest thing from a "winning betting system". So I've
got to make sure we play long enough that a challenger doesn't
have even a lousy 11% chance of winning.
Next, my criteria for what constitutes a "winning system" is
really soft: In the real world, a system that showed
a measly $5 profit after 200,000 rounds (less than a penny an
hour) would be considered a miserable failure, but that would be
enough to win a test in my challenge rules. If my
challenge required the system to win a meaningful amount (say,
$20 an hour), then any system would fail almost immediately.
By the way, you absolutely could play 200,000 rounds anyway.
baccarat at 125 hands per hour, 8 hours on a weekend, 26 weekends
per year, for 35 years, is nearly a million rounds.
No one has ever accepted
One reader said that a system-seller claimed to have beaten
my challenge (or perhaps the Wizard's challenge, he wasn't
clear). Let me be clear: no one has ever even accepted
my challenge, let alone beaten it. And the one person who
accepted the Wizard's challenge (back when he offered it), lost
it readily. Anyone who claims they've beaten my challenge
should show you the alleged contract we signed, listing the
supposed escrow agent and judge, allowing you to verify whether
any challenge really took place.
Those who are confident and agree to the terms are
invited to accept the
Alternate "Live Casino
Some system sellers claim that their systems work in a casino,
but they can't beat a computer simulation because "a computer
isn't a real-world test". Anyone who understands basic
probability knows why that claim is ridiculous, but in any event,
I have a special live challenge to accommodate it. The live
challenge is the same as above, except:
- It takes place in a Vegas (or other U.S.) casino, with you
and me (or my representative) present. You will bank and
place your own bets.
- You will choose the number of rounds to wager on before we
begin (1000 to 10,000 rounds). If your system is played
in "sessions" it doesn't matter: you keep track of your
"sessions" however you define them, they're irrelevant to
me. You win by showing the required overall profit
(defined below), no matter how many "sessions" you divided
your play into.
- The challenge is an even-money bet between you and me (not
10-1 odds). The amount wagered between you and me is any
amount you choose, between $1000 to $30,000, with a minimum of
$50 per hour of play (including time you spend at the table
not betting while waiting for "streaks" or other conditions).
Yes, you won't know the exact number of hours you'll be
playing in the casino to finish your X number of rounds, so
you should estimate well to make sure you meet the minimum
challenge wager. Roulette, craps, and baccarat are typically
played at around 40, 50, and 70 rounds per hour respectively,
but if you're waiting for streaks or other conditions then
your play will be slower.
- All play must be completed within one month.
- Starting bankroll is 1/3 the number of total rounds, in
dollars, banked by you. (e.g., a 1500-round challenge
means a starting bankroll of $500.)
- You win if you achieve a profit of at least $15 an hour on
average. (Win must be at least [total hours played] x [$15].)
Those who are confident and agree to the
terms without modification
are invited to accept
to practice a betting system?
Betting systems can't
make you a winner, but by playing
, you can test your theory without risking any
I recommend Bovada over other online casinos because:
- You can play without registering.
- You can play the games in your browser without downloading
- The games work on both Macs and PC's.
- They don't have annoying popup windows.
Terms are subject to change. I don't
guarantee to offer this challenge in this format
forever. Last update: November 2013