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99% of the inquiries I get about the Betting System Challenge go straight to the trash. That's because the challenger suggests something completely contrary to the explicit terms of the challenge.Are you writing to ask me to test your system (with or without payment) instead of formally submitting to the challenge?
Because of the number of people trying to waste my time, it's necessary for me to ask some more questions:
Okay, so you're all eager to risk $1000+ with me to prove you have a winning betting system, but you didn't even bother to spend $50 to $100 to have your system tested first? Are you a blithering idiot or something? Go get your system tested. Otherwise, if you insist that there's no need for you to do any due diligence by having your system tested beforehand, you can continue now by clicking the last word of this sentence.
No whining about the rules
The terms of the challenge are not subject to negotiation, period. I've already made that clear to you several times, yet you've chosen to ignore it. I won't accept a challenge from you. Do not write to me. Don't think that you're so clever by going back and lying on the answers to the screening questions just to get your message through, because then as soon as I see your message suggesting a change in the terms, I'll simply delete it on-sight. (Duh.) I have done that every single time someone has lied on the answers to the screening questions. I have never responded favorably to such a deceit. Oh, but you, your message and your suggested change are special, right? WRONG.
Not that you deserve an explanation, but I'll provide one anyway. My challenge seeks to prove that anyone hawking a betting system is hawking pure junk, and I provide generous terms for anyone who wants to put their system to the test. It's not my obligation to create a specially-crafted set of rules for every challenger who wants to tweak them. I'm already offering you generous terms, including whopping 10 to 1 odds for the computer-simulated version. Nobody else on the planet is offering a betting system challenge like I am, much less one with such generous odds. So if you don't like it, kindly bugger off.
Also, in many cases those who want rule changes are just trying to find a loophole to beat me. They're not trying to prove that a system they're selling for use in a casino environment actually works, which, as I've tried to make painfully clear, is the whole point of my offering the challenge. As such I'm not going to waste my time trying to placate people who are trying to find a loophole in my challenge rather than trying to show that they have an actual winning system for use in an actual casino...especially when doing so would mean I'd have to waste time programming and testing various exploits that might be able to beat a modified rule set.
As for the craps odds I offer, my challenge offers typical odds found at typical casinos. I don't intend to match the best odds available at any casino on the planet (or even Vegas). That's completely beside the point. No system purveyor claims that their system can beat only a 100x craps game (rather than the standard 3-4-5x odds I offer), or can win only with a 1024:1 spread (vs. a 500:1 spread).
Some people don't understand the word "standard". They think "standard Vegas rules" means the absolute most liberal rules they can find at any casino in the city. No, that's the opposite of "standard". The very best rules you can find anywhere are exceptional Vegas rules, not standard ones.
Also, in the past I made the odds more generous in response to complaints, but then the same people just complained about something else. It's clear that no matter how generous I make the odds, some people are going to whine anyway. I have to draw the line somewhere, so I'm drawing it at a very reasonable place: standard Vegas rules.
Also, even when I've made the terms more generous in response to complaints, no one accepted the challenge anyway.
Blackjack is not accepted. Nor is any game that's not explicitly listed on the list of accepted games. There's a reason I listed which games are acceptable. If you don't see it on the list, it's not available for the challenge. Duh.
Didn't see the particular rule you want to change addressed above, and therefore think that I might be amenable to accepting your rule change? Then congratulate yourself on being a complete idiot, and bugger off. I can't anticipate every possible way that people might want to change the rules, and I'm not going to try. The rules are the rules, period, period, period. Do not write.
Bottom line, I won't waste my time with people who want to nitpick about the rules, most importantly because it's completely irrelevant.
To claim the prize, you must have already programmed the simulation (or had it programmed for you) and send me the source code. (I'm not going to personally program a million people's random guesses about a system that might beat the challenge.) In the case of multiple people identifying a similar exploit, the first one to contact me gets the whole prize. Click the last word of this sentence to continue.
For journalists ONLY who want to interview Michael Bluejay for a story, contact me at (702) 947-0918 or with the mail form below.
For non-media inquiries, please choose the correct option from the list above.
Feel free to quote anything on this website. For convenience, below are some common things journalists like to quote about. Please don't quote me from articles published elsewhere (above), since what was printed might not have been exactly what I said.
How to identify me. That's up to you. Most media identifies me with something like, "Michael Bluejay, editor of VegasClick.com", or "gambling writer Michael Bluejay", as "a Vegas authority" or "gambling authority". I'm not confident enough to call myself an "expert", though I'm not gonna complain to you if that's how you identify me. I do think it's a mistake to call me a "slot mathematician", as one journalist did, because the math I use isn't higher than junior high school level.
What is the best bet in the casino?
Blackjack, if you follow proper strategy, and avoid the 6:5 games. The house edge with proper strategy on a 3:2 game is around 0.5%.
If you don't want to learn the proper strategy, then the next-best bet is Craps, making only Pass-Line and Odds bets. In this case the house edge is 1.41% or lower (depending on how much you wager on the Odds bets).
What is the house edge?
The house edge is the casino's average profit per bet. On a game where the house edge is 5%, on a $5 bet the house will keep $0.25 as profit, and return $4.75 to the player as winnings, on average. See more about the house edge.
What's the house edge on slot machines?
2% to 15%. The more competitive markets have more liberal machines (e.g., Vegas), and markets where there's only one casino in town have lousy odds. Casinos don't disclose the odds of their machines. In jurisdictions where they're required to do some reporting, they report the average of all their machines together, and they include video poker in the totals, so it's impossible to see the slot returns separately.
What's the best game in a slot-only casino (i.e., no table games are available)?
Usually video blackjack, where the house edge is around 2%, if you use proper strategy. After that, video poker, where the house edge is around 1-9%, again using proper strategy.
Where does one learn proper strategy?
Every hotel gift shop in Vegas sells a little blackjack strategy card for around $1.50, and you can use it at the table as long as you don't slow down the game. You can also use the strategy card at VegasClick.com. For video poker, see Wizard of Odds.com.
What's wrong with slot machines?
- The house edge is higher than most other casino games.
- The house edge is a secret, because the casino doesn't disclose it. This contrasts with table games, where the odds are known because mathematicians have calculated the odds and published them.
- Slots can be played very fast, so you lose quicker.
I recommend against playing slot machines. As for playing slots, one might as well just drive by the casino and throw some money at it.
How can a player improve her odds at slots?
- Don't play. If you don't play, you have a 100% chance of not losing any money.
- Don't play progressives. Progressive machines are the ones with an ever-increasing jackpot. These pay back at least a percentage point or two less than non-progressives.
- Don't play video slots. Video slots pay back at least a percentage point or two less than electro-mechanical (physical reel) slots.
- Play games with small jackpots. The smaller the jackpot, the more likely it is to hit.
- Play higher-denomination machines. Higher denomination machines have slightly better odds than lower-denomination machines. However, even though the odds are better, you still lose more money playing them, because you're putting more money into the machine.
Has anyone figured out a way to beat slot machines, or is it possible someone will?
No and no. Slot machines work on simple probability. A fair coin has a 50% chance of landing on heads, no matter what you do. A slot machine is just a more complicated version of that coin. The only way to beat a slot machine is to change the laws of probability -- or to cheat, which is a felony.
Can't you just play a machine that hasn't had a jackpot in a long time, since it's due to hit a jackpot?
No. A slot machine is never "due" to hit a jackpot, no matter how long it's been since the last one. The odds are the same on every spin. The odds on the very next spin after hitting the jackpot are the same as they were on the spin that got the jackpot. If you flip a coin and you happen to get five heads in a row, tails is not more likely on the next toss. Heads and tails always have a 50% chance of coming up, regardless of previous results. See more on the Gambler's Fallacy.
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